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Original Kotaku link:
https://kotaku.com/alan-wake-2-pc-epic-games-store-achievements-1850962519Deleting the content of that overlay folder seems to have worked. Just don’t delete the folder itself or it complains about it missing.
Oof. Steam allows you to disable the notifications, and they’re not really all that intrusive in the first place (little chime, and a pop-up in the lower right corner for about a second).