Early projections show National Rally on course for victory in the vote for a new parliament as Emmanuel Macron’s election gamble backfires.
  • unautrenom@jlai.luEnglish
    0·
    3 days ago

    (Here we go again)

    First things first, shame on you Politico for showing outdated projection results. The actual outcome has been published now (after big cities’ votes, including Paris, have been counted) and Far Right lost 5% (they’re now polling at 29.2%), barely ahead of the Left Alliance (28%). That’s both lower than the polls (which were giving her a whoping 37%), and their result in the last presidential elections.

    Edit: source: https://www.resultats-elections.interieur.gouv.fr/legislatives2024/ensemble_geographique/index.html

    Secondly, seat projections, right now are highly unstable due to our two turns system. RN (Far Right) might have some allies from the trad right wing parry who was utterly destroyed, but both the NFP (Left Alliance) and Macron’s Renaissance* have said their candidates need to desist when they’re third and Far Right is first to try to cumulate their votes.

    *Macron’s PM Gabriel Attal has, for the moment, said there might be exceptions to that rule for the candidates of the radical left party France Unbowed which they consider to be be ‘too extreme’ for their taste so we’ll see.

    (Also, slight reminder that Politico is a property of Alex Kreuger, the German equivalent of Rupert Mudrock. Don’t expect full neutrality.)

  • CosmoNova@lemmy.worldEnglish
    0·
    4 days ago

    The western middle class is voting for self destruction it seems. Apparently we really need to demolish everything we‘ve accomplished in terms if wealth and human rights of the last 70 years just to one day realize how good we‘ve had it now. Let‘s hope we can bounce back eventually and don‘t have to spend centuries in serfdom to the super wealthy.

  • Moonrise2473@feddit.itEnglish
    0·
    4 days ago

    I don’t understand what macron was thinking. If they got this result 3 weeks ago, rushing new elections with no time for an extended electoral campaign was going to get the same results, no?

    • unautrenom@jlai.luEnglish
      0·
      3 days ago

      From what I understand, he was hoping for :

      1. Destroy the incoming alliance between our two Far Rights parties (that worked)
      2. That the trad right party would implode (that worked)
      3. That the left would self-combust like always (that did NOT happen)

      And that he would thus be the ‘only credible choice’ against Far Right. (Note that in the last legislative elections, he was NOT given a majority in the National assembly so that he’d have to negotiate with other parties, which he refused to do anyway, except maybe with the small trad right wing party).

      Obviously, that didn’t work out. As other in the French subs have pointed out, he’s an ex-banker. He’s used to making risky bets. But now’s first time where he has to assume the consequence if he looses it.

    • franglais@lemm.eeEnglish
      0·
      4 days ago

      He’s been drunk with power since he was elected, and it’s only gotten worse as his mandate has borne out.