I remember reading something from Sid Meier about odds in Civilization, saying that odds need to be faked in games. If you make it fair, people will accuse it of being fixed. You need to cheat in the player’s favour. It’s done this way in games like XCOM too.
Thunk made the mistake of making it honest.
People just don’t understand statistics and probabilities. Our brains just aren’t built for it. So, a fair 25% chance feels way more unlikely than it really is.
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Playing Balatro for months and I swear that card has hit maybe one time in all the times I’ve tried it (which is significantly more than 4 times, to be clear).
This will be one of those things where some time from now the Wheel of Fortune rate fix will quietly show up in a changelog.
Everytime its the bilbo “afterall, why shouldn’t I?” Meme and then immeasurable disappointment.
With just enough success to keep me coming back, lol
I’ll believe it’s a 1 in 4 chance when Hell freezes over. Same thing with the 1 in 5 chance for Lua in the Cryptid mod.
itt: people who think you can measure a probability with less than 10 samples
You can, just not accurately
1/4 Wheel is the biggest lie ever told in video games. I did 8 in a row and got nothing once. It’s like 1/10 at best
Getting a 3/4 event eight times in a row has a probability of roughly 10%
It’s still some bullshit!
Yeah and the cakes real too…
Guys, you can just return to main menu before the animation finishes and pick a different card (this doesn’t change the result of the WheelOfFortune tarot).
Do this, and every Wheel of Fortune becomes an added bonus!
Never lucky BabyRage
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