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Cake day: July 25th, 2023

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  • I think part of this increase may be down to an increased awareness of mental health issues. Mental health problems that were not understood, or ignored in decades past, are much more clearly seen now.

    However, it seems undeniable that life has gotten worse across the Western world for younger generations. Economic independence of any kind is impossible without going into soul-crushing debt first. In many ways, it bears similarity to the indentured servitude of the past. Meanwhile, you get lectured by a generation that grew up with free education, cheap rents, and jobs that were easy to get and could support a whole family.

    If much of this is caused by economic factors, will the soon-to-be widespread automation of more of the economy make things better or worse? My guess is that in the short term, they will get worse. Until we arrive at what new economic model follows.

    Driving jobs are about to disappear to self-driving autonomous vehicles. They were one of the last refuges of the less educated to have a degree of economic independence, especially for less educated young men. The mental health consequences of that category of job disappearing forever may be enormous.









  • Quite apart from the issue of Google as a monopoly, i’ve really noticed a lot of their services going downhill in the last 18 months or so. Search gets steadily worse. But their AI voice transcription services, and grammar and spell checks, are nowhere near as good as free open source alternatives. Not only that, but bizarrely they’ve actually got worse than they used to be, where everywhere else in these fields it’s constant improvement.















  • When I think about this issue, I sometimes think about future scenarios on a scale of 1 - 10, with 10 being ‘most confidence to predict will occur’ and 1 being ‘least able to definitively predict’.

    I give UBI a 4 on that scale. It may well occur, but there are different ways of achieving the same goal, so who knows.

    One of the few facts I rank at 10, is that the day is coming when AI and robotics will be able to do most work, even the jobs uninvented, but for pennies on the hour.

    The logical follow-on is that the day will also have to come, when society realizes that this is happening, understands it, and begins to prepare for its new reality. This is going to seem scary for many people; they will just see the destructive aspects of it, as the old ways of running the world crumble.

    This is how I look at what this research is talking about - signs of this awakening becoming more widespread. We badly need politicians who start telling us about what the world is going to be like afterwards, and painting a hopeful vision about it.